Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock5 - 2St Mirren
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 9 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup
Saturday, March 9 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: St Mirren 2-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 St Mirren
Each team desperately needs points in a bid to try and continue their fight for a European position and that could lead to a cautious match. Because of that, it would not be a surprise to see them battle out a draw and ultimately share the points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
46.9% ( 0.05) | 25.85% ( -0) | 27.25% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
