Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24

Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
3 - 2
Kilmarnock

Kabangu (7'), McCart (58'), Grant (61')
Grant (45+5'), Boateng (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wales (50'), Murray (67')
Deas (42'), Magennis (45+3'), Watkins (45+5'), Armstrong (54'), Watson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Brechin 1-4 Hearts
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Kilmarnock
61.61% ( -0.06)	21.57% ( 0.02)	16.81% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.43% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.5% (

-0.01)

46.5% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.22% (

-0.01)

68.78% (

0.01)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.43% (

-0.02)

14.57% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.37% (

-0.04)

42.62% (

0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.02% (

0.04)

40.97% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.46% (

0.04)

77.53% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Hearts 61.6%

Kilmarnock 16.81%

Draw 21.56%

Hearts	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 61.6%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.56%	0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.81%