MX23RW : Monday, May 19 07:26:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hearts logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Hearts

Anderson (18' pen.)
Murray (85')
Deas (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Penrice (16'), Rowles (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-0 Hearts
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Conference League

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Hearts

Both sides have suffered at the beginning of this season, but with Hearts looking revitalised under Critchley in past matches, while the hosts are winless in their last six, we believe the visitors will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHearts
41.43% (-0.073 -0.07) 25.79% (0.105 0.11) 32.77% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.28% (-0.354 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (-0.454 -0.45)49.81% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (-0.407 -0.41)71.81% (0.40299999999999 0.4)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)23.82% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42% (-0.34 -0.34)57.99% (0.335 0.34)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.247 -0.25)28.74% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.308 -0.31)64.57% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 41.43%
    Hearts 32.77%
    Draw 25.78%
KilmarnockDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.77%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Kilmarnock
15.4%
Draw
23.1%
Hearts
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hearts
1-2
Kilmarnock
Forrest (44')
Penrice (87')
Kennedy (58'), Vassell (63')
Vassell (52'), Kennedy (65'), Watkins (77')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Kilmarnock
0-0
Hearts
Mayo (36'), Wright (44'), Donnelly (61'), Findlay (89')
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
1-1
Kilmarnock
Vargas (10')
Kent (27'), Cochrane (65')
Watkins (67')
Armstrong (28'), Deas (63')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Kilmarnock
0-1
Hearts

Dennis (40'), Watson (68')
Dennis (18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
1-2
Hearts
Lyons (68')
Grant (40'), Lowry (90+2')
Grant (50'), Haring (60'), Nieuwenhof (88'), Sibbick (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts54015247552
2Motherwell53114663-1749
3Kilmarnock53024564-1944
4Dundee52125777-2041
5Ross County50233765-2837
RSt Johnstone51043868-3032
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!