

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
| 51.07% ( | 24.04% ( | 24.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.2% ( | 46.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( | 69.06% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( | 18.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.55% ( | 49.44% ( |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( | 32.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.46% ( | 69.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.07% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 24.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
| 5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
| 7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
| 9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
| 11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
| > Scottish Premiership Full Table | |||||||||
