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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Genoa logo

Napoli
2 - 2
Genoa

Lukaku (15'), Raspadori (64')
Billing (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Meret (32' og.), Vasquez (84')
Vasquez (45'), Vitinha (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Napoli
Saturday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan
Monday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 77.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.68%) and 3-0 (11.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawGenoa
77.13% (-0.518 -0.52)15.52% (0.316 0.32)7.34% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 39.44% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.704 -0.7)44.22% (0.698 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-0.687 -0.69)66.6% (0.682 0.68)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.39% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)9.6% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.89% (-0.708 -0.71)32.1% (0.704 0.7)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.63% (0.061999999999998 0.06)56.37% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.32% (0.035 0.04)88.68% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 77.11%
    Genoa 7.34%
    Draw 15.52%
NapoliDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 14.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 12.68% (0.22 0.22)
3-0 @ 11.6% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 6.8% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.9% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-0 @ 3.19% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.24% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 77.11%
1-1 @ 7.27% (0.137 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.162 0.16)
2-2 @ 2.44% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 15.52%
0-1 @ 3.1% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 2.08% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 7.34%

How you voted: Napoli vs Genoa

Napoli
83.8%
Draw
12.2%
Genoa
4.1%
74
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 17
Genoa
1-2
Napoli
Pinamonti (51')
Sabelli (62'), Frendrup (84')
Zambo Anguissa (15'), Rrahmani (23')
Jesus (32')
Feb 17, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
Napoli
1-1
Genoa
Ngonge (90')
Skiri Oestigaard (26'), Kvaratskhelia (42'), Di Lorenzo (54')
Frendrup (47')
Vasquez (50'), Vitinha (90+3')
Sep 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Genoa
2-2
Napoli
Bani (40'), Retegui (56')
De Winter (32'), Retegui (33'), Badelj (75')
Raspadori (76'), Politano (84')
Elmas (1'), Cajuste (78')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Napoli
3-0
Genoa
Osimhen (32'), Insigne (65' pen.), Lobotka (81')
Lobotka (87')

Galdames (38')
Aug 29, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Genoa
1-2
Napoli
Cambiaso (69')
Ekuban (11'), Criscito (51')
Fabian (39'), Petagna (84')
Di Lorenzo (45'), Politano (49'), Rui (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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