Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 3, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 1
Napoli

Krstovic (66'), Morente (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Raspadori (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Torino
Sunday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.44%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Napoli
13.65% ( -0.24)	20.4% ( -0.44)	65.95% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 46.69% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.44% (

1.33)

47.56% (

-1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.24% (

1.22)

69.76% (

-1.22)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.03% (

0.45)

45.97% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.3% (

0.35)

81.7% (

-0.35)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.43% (

0.63)

13.57% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.32% (

1.24)

40.68% (

-1.24)

Score Analysis

Lecce 13.65%

Napoli 65.95%

Draw 20.4%

Lecce	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.21% Total : 13.65%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.4%	0-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 12.44% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 8.28% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 4.14% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.1) 0-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.62% Total : 65.95%