Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 2
AC Milan

Vitinha (61')
Thorsby (27')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Leao (76'), Frendrup (77' og.)
Pavlovic (21'), Loftus-Cheek (69'), Leao (82'), Gabbia (84'), Felix (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Genoa and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Como 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, April 27 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Venezia 0-2 AC Milan
Sunday, April 27 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
Genoa	Draw	AC Milan
21.46% ( -1.01)	24.34% ( 0.22)	54.2% ( 0.79)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table

Genoa	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.49% Total : 21.46%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.33%	0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.77) 0-2 @ 10.13% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.19%

Serie A

Genoa1 - 2AC Milan

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

AC Milan

Data Analysis

How you voted: Genoa vs AC Milan

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Genoa
1 - 2
AC Milan