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Fleetwood Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Morecambe

Fleetwood
2 - 2
Morecambe

Graydon (34'), Coughlin (45+3')
Helm (42'), Bonds (45+5'), Bolton (71'), Johnston (81'), Hunt (84'), Graydon (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Songo'o (74'), Hope (86')
Songo'o (38'), Angol (40'), Tollitt (63'), Harrack (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 3-3 Colchester
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-0 Morecambe

Although Morecambe would have taken some confidence from their recent 3-3 home draw against Colchester, they have lost all three of their away league games this season, and we think that they will experience more disappointment on their travels when they face a Fleetwood side that have won three of their five competitive home games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawMorecambe
49.17% (-0.223 -0.22) 25.29% (0.346 0.35) 25.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.45% (-1.174 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54% (-1.49 -1.49)51.46% (1.492 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73% (-1.314 -1.31)73.26% (1.316 1.32)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.693 -0.69)20.94% (0.696 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (-1.097 -1.1)53.68% (1.098 1.1)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08% (-0.904 -0.9)34.92% (0.906 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34% (-0.965 -0.97)71.66% (0.967 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 49.16%
    Morecambe 25.54%
    Draw 25.28%
Fleetwood TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.44 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 49.16%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.426 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.268 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 25.54%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Morecambe

Fleetwood Town
88.5%
Draw
6.6%
Morecambe
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
1-1
Fleetwood
Gnahoua (32')
Love (49'), Hunter (69')
Andrew (83')
Andrew (69')
Lane (90+6')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Fleetwood
1-2
Morecambe
Johnson (82')
Pilkington (90+5')
Pilkington (90+6')
Jones (11'), Stockton (90+4')
McLoughlin (43'), Stockton (90+5')
Oct 3, 2017 7.45pm
-
Fleetwood
2-1
Morecambe
Burns (25'), McGowan (72' og.)
Ekpolo (94')
Ekpolo (51' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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