League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bolton3 - 0Lincoln
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 4-3 West Brom
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Lincoln City
Bolton do boast slightly more quality throughout the squad than their visitors, and with home advantage and the need to get up and running quickly in their promotion bid, we fancy the Trotters to take all three points in their curtain-raiser. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Lincoln City |
44.56% ( -1.11) | 26.11% ( 0.02) | 29.33% ( 1.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.74% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
