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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Exeter City
Bolton
7 - 0
Exeter
Iredale (34'), Adeboyejo (43'), Maghoma (55'), Charles (63', 74'), Dempsey (86'), N'Lundulu (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jules (18')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Exeter City

The Wanderers have won matches in various ways throughout the domestic campaign, while Exeter often look unstable and inconsistent at the back, which is why we believe Bolton will continue their winning ways and push towards the top spot in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
58.15% (-0.489 -0.49) 21.13% (0.171 0.17) 20.71% (0.318 0.32)
Both teams to score 59.16% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58% (-0.354 -0.35)38.41% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (-0.373 -0.37)60.7% (0.374 0.37)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.256 -0.26)13% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (-0.523 -0.52)39.52% (0.524 0.52)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (0.097999999999999 0.1)31.99% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (0.114 0.11)68.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 58.15%
    Exeter City 20.71%
    Draw 21.13%
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 58.15%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 20.71%

How you voted: Bolton vs Exeter

Bolton Wanderers
94.7%
Draw
5.3%
Exeter City
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Exeter
0-1
Bolton
Bradley (27')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth26158342222053
2Bolton WanderersBolton24163545242151
3Peterborough UnitedPeterborough25147450272349
4Derby CountyDerby25154647242349
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd25144742291346
6Barnsley24127546281843
7Stevenage25127637251243
8Blackpool26116942321039
9Northampton TownNorthampton25113113133-236
10Bristol Rovers249783433134
11Lincoln CityLincoln2688102929032
12Leyton Orient258892531-632
13Charlton AthleticCharlton257993937230
14Port Vale2586112838-1030
15Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2693141736-1930
16Wycombe WanderersWycombe2578102934-529
17Burton Albion2677122135-1428
18Wigan AthleticWigan25105103530527
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge2476112132-1127
20Exeter CityExeter2575131837-1926
21Reading2576123441-723
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham2565141934-1523
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2648142138-1720
24Fleetwood TownFleetwood2546152245-2318

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