Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
