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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
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Bolton logo

Reading
1 - 0
Bolton

Knibbs (89' pen.)
Craig (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thomason (74'), Southwood (89'), Toal (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Reading
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Northampton
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-2 Bolton Wanderers

With Bolton currently on a high ahead of eventually appointing a new manager, they are the clear favourites for this contest. However, we feel that Reading could benefit from being the underdogs to earn a share of the spoils in an entertaining tussle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawBolton Wanderers
33.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 24.55% (0.0030000000000001 0) 41.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.8% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)44.06% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.56% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)66.44% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.44% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)60.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.03%53.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 33.59%
    Bolton Wanderers 41.86%
    Draw 24.54%
ReadingDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 7.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.59%
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.79%
0-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.86%

How you voted: Reading vs Bolton

Reading
41.7%
Draw
29.2%
Bolton Wanderers
29.2%
24
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Bolton
5-2
Reading
Sheehan (12'), Charles (21' pen., 34', 45+4' pen.), Dempsey (87')
Santos (16'), Baxter (81'), Williams (88'), Arfield (90+1')
Elliott (41'), Smith (57' pen.)
Wing (11'), Knibbs (71')
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 42
Bolton
5-2
Reading
Collins (11', 45+4' pen., 77'), Dadi Bodvarsson (49', 90+5')
Ogbeta (16'), Sheehan (53')
Wing (40'), Mukairu (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Reading
2-1
Bolton
Savage (77'), Vickers (86')
Ballard (30'), Yiadom (79'), Azeez (87'), Mbengue (87'), (90+7'), Savage (90+2')
Charles (20')
Santos (13'), Toal (16'), Williams (38'), Jerome (76'), Thomason (76')
Toal (90+4')
Jan 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Bolton
1-1
Reading
Hobbs (90')
Noone (35'), Taylor (58')
Oliveira (74' pen.)
Gunter (53'), Rinomhota (60'), Swift (63')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
0-1
Bolton

Blackett (25'), Kelly (65')
Wildschut (48')
Wheater (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham33237355223376
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe341910560322867
3Wrexham34198749282165
4Stockport CountyStockport351710852341861
5Charlton AthleticCharlton34178946311559
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield351771147321558
7Bolton WanderersBolton34176115550557
8Reading34159104844454
9Leyton Orient351651450351553
10Barnsley35157135048252
11Stevenage34138133234-247
12Lincoln CityLincoln351210134844446
13Blackpool34101594947245
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham34128143940-144
15Wigan AthleticWigan341010143134-340
16Mansfield TownMansfield34117164047-740
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough34108165159-838
18Northampton TownNorthampton35911153452-1838
19Exeter CityExeter33107163550-1537
20Bristol Rovers34106183553-1836
21Burton Albion35712163551-1633
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge3478193457-2329
23Crawley TownCrawley3478193764-2729
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3577213458-2428


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