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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Oxford United

Preston
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Keane (70')
Lindsay (20'), Storey (63'), Whiteman (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodrigues (21')
Long (32'), Cumming (60'), Dembele (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 3-1 Preston
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, January 1 at 1pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawOxford United
46.1% (0.121 0.12)27.27% (-0.224 -0.22)26.63% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.63% (0.683 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (0.838 0.84)58.16% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18% (0.653 0.65)78.82% (-0.654 -0.65)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (0.43900000000001 0.44)25.21% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (0.602 0.6)59.95% (-0.604 -0.6)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (0.54799999999999 0.55)37.65% (-0.55 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57% (0.532 0.53)74.43% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 46.1%
    Oxford United 26.63%
    Draw 27.26%
Preston North EndDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 13.08% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Preston vs Oxford Utd

Preston North End
43.9%
Draw
34.1%
Oxford United
22.0%
41
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Oxford Utd
3-1
Preston
Harris (20'), Goodrham (54'), Leigh (71')
Rodrigues (45+3'), McCann (90+6')
Riis Jakobsen (3')
Greenwood (22'), Lindsay (52'), Brady (76')
Lindsay (70')