

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 33.8% ( | 26.09% ( | 40.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.12% ( | 50.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% ( | 72.76% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( | 28.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.59% ( | 64.4% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( | 24.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.37% ( | 59.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
