

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nantes win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Lorient has a probability of 35.34% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Lorient win is 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.14%).
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Nantes |
| 35.34% ( | 25.64% ( | 39.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% ( | 48.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( | 70.8% ( |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( | 26.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.15% ( | 61.84% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( | 24.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.94% ( | 59.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 35.34% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
