

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Strasbourg | 
| 49.86% | 26.92% | 23.22% | 
| Both teams to score 44.65% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.8% | 59.2% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.37% | 79.63% | 
| Nantes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.11% | 23.89% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.9% | 58.1% | 
| Strasbourg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 58.67% | 41.33% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.15% | 77.85% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Nantes | Draw | Strasbourg | 
| 1-0 @ 14.13% 2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.94% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.43% Total : 49.84% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.16% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.2% Total : 23.22% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 78 | 
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 72 | 
| 3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 | 
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 | 
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 | 
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 | 
| 7 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 56 | 
| 8 | Nice | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 51 | 
| 9 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 | 
| 10 | Reims | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 | 
| 11 | Clermont | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 | 
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 | 
| 13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 | 
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 35 | 
| 15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 | 
| 16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 | 
| 17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 | 
| 18 | Ajaccio | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 23 | 
| 19 | Troyes | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 22 | 
| R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 | 
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