Red Star

2 - 3

PSV

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.27%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.