Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Nov 27, 2024 at 8pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
3 - 2
Shakhtar

Tillman (87', 90'), Pepi (90+5')
Boscagli (59'), Saibari (84'), Tillman (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sikan (8'), Zubkov (37')
Kryskiv (87'), Pusic (90+1')
Pedrinho (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSV 5-0 Groningen
Saturday, November 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Shakhtar
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 10.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 3-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
73.38% ( -0.14)	15.66% ( 0.2)	10.96% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 55.1% (

-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.68% (

-1.27)

32.32% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.06% (

-1.49)

53.93% (

1.49)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.43% (

-0.33)

7.57% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.88% (

-0.84)

27.11% (

0.84)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.61% (

-1.03)

40.39% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.99% (

-0.94)

77% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 73.38%

Shakhtar Donetsk 10.96%

Draw 15.66%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.4) 4-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.13) 6-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.09) 6-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.51% Total : 73.38%	1-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.66%	1-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.44% Total : 10.96%