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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.49%) and 1-3 (4.99%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 36.73% ( | 22.3% ( | 40.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 68.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.67% ( | 32.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.05% ( | 53.95% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( | 18.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.42% ( | 49.57% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( | 16.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.56% ( | 46.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 1-0 @ 5.18% ( 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-2 @ 3.98% ( 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 4-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.73% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 2-2 @ 7.06% ( 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 3-3 @ 2.38% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.3% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 1-4 @ 2.24% ( 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 3-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 40.96% |