Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.67%) and 0-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 18.1% ( | 19.52% ( | 62.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.22% ( | 34.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.26% ( | 56.74% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( | 32.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.04% ( | 68.96% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.28% ( | 10.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.34% ( | 34.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.92% ( 1-0 @ 3.92% ( 2-0 @ 2.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 3-1 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 18.1% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.52% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 1-3 @ 7.27% ( 0-3 @ 6.45% ( 2-3 @ 4.09% ( 1-4 @ 4.06% ( 0-4 @ 3.6% ( 2-4 @ 2.28% ( 1-5 @ 1.81% ( 0-5 @ 1.61% ( 2-5 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 4% Total : 62.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
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