Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 22, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
4 - 3
Wolfsburg

Wirtz (14'), Tah (32'), Hincapie (48'), Boniface (90+3')
Belocian (36'), Grimaldo (45+5'), Adli (51'), Frimpong (88')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Mukiele (5' og.), Bornauw (37'), Svanberg (45+1')
Tomas (50'), Zesiger (80'), Arnold (90+1'), Grabara (90+1'), Kaminski (90+7')
Gerhardt (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Feyenoord 0-4 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 58.96%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Wolfsburg
58.96% ( -0.01)	20.49% ( 0)	20.55% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.25% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.43% (

-0.01)

35.57% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.38% (

-0.01)

57.62% (

0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.13% (

-0)

11.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.84% (

-0.01)

37.16% (

0.01)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.5% (

30.5% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.28% (

-0)

66.72% (

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 58.96%

Wolfsburg 20.55%

Draw 20.49%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.12% 4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.96%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.49%	1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 20.55%