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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Werder Bremen

Kane (56' pen., 90+7' pen.), Sane (82')
Goretzka (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jung (54'), Weiser (54'), Silva (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Mainz
Friday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 5-1 Werder Bremen

It is difficult to see Werder Bremen keeping the Bavarians out given they are set to be without a number of key defenders. Considering Bayern's rampant displays in the final third this term, they should be confident of scoring multiple times on Friday, but it would not be surprising if they conceded at least once given their own defensive struggles of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 84.41%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 5.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.46%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (1.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
84.41% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 10.03% (0.016 0.02) 5.56% (0.013 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.05% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)22.94% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.81% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)42.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.2% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)3.8% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.77% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)16.22% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.6% (0.011999999999993 0.01)45.39% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.75% (0.010000000000002 0.01)81.24% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 84.41%
    Werder Bremen 5.56%
    Draw 10.03%
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
3-0 @ 10.05%
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 8.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 6.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
5-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.56%
6-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
7-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 84.41%
1-1 @ 4.46% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.88% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 10.03%
1-2 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
0-1 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 5.56%

How you voted: Bayern vs Werder Bremen

Bayern Munich
76.8%
Draw
15.9%
Werder Bremen
7.3%
82
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Werder Bremen
0-5
Bayern
Olise (23', 60'), Musiala (32'), Kane (57'), Gnabry (65')
Laimer (38'), Pavlovic (77'), Upamecano (77')
Jan 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
0-1
Werder Bremen

Kimmich (17'), de Ligt (74')
Weiser (59')
Schmid (70')
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
0-4
Bayern

Ducksch (20'), Lynen (56')
Sane (4', 90'), Kane (74'), Tel (90+4')
Min-jae (55')
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
1-2
Bayern
Schmidt (87')
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
Jung (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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