Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern
6 - 1
Werder Bremen
The Match
Match Report
Serge Gnabry scores a hat-trick as Bayern Munich move four points clear at the top of the Bundesliga courtesy of a 6-1 drubbing of Werder Bremen.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Schalke
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.79%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Werder Bremen |
80.79% ( -1.61) | 11.89% ( 0.99) | 7.32% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.74% ( -2.88) | 25.26% ( 2.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.75% ( -3.85) | 45.25% ( 3.86) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.25% ( -0.76) | 4.75% ( 0.77) |
