Champions League header

Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Dortmund logo

Sporting Lisbon
0 - 3
Dortmund


Trincao (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guirassy (60'), Gross (68'), Adeyemi (82')
Guirassy (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Porto 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, February 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 1-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.82%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 22.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBorussia Dortmund
55.82% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)21.2% (0.010000000000002 0.01)22.98% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 62.31% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)35.78% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.85% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)12.83% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)39.17% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.055999999999997 0.06)28.52% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (0.072000000000003 0.07)64.29% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 55.82%
    Borussia Dortmund 22.98%
    Draw 21.2%
Sporting LisbonDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.13%
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 55.82%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.2%
1-2 @ 5.91% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 22.98%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Dortmund

Sporting Lisbon
49.5%
Draw
22.4%
Borussia Dortmund
28.2%
277
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Dortmund
Goncalves (30', 39'), Porro (81')
Palhinha (55'), Coates (57'), Paulinho (74'), Nunes (74'), Porro (74'), Adan (90+8')
Malen (90+3')
Reus (74'), Zagadou (74'), Rose (79')
Can (74')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Malen (37')
Bellingham (42'), Hummels (59')

Nunes (42'), Neto (90')
> Preview
Nov 2, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Ramos
Guerreiro (66')

Semedo (11'), Castaignos (20'), Zeegelaar (75')
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Dortmund
Cesar (67')
Elias (54'), Schelotto (68'), Campbell (76'), Cesar (86')
Aubameyang (10'), Weigl (43')
Passlack (48'), Rode (76'), Burki (88')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
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11Fulham38159145454054
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13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
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RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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