

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund | 
| 35.95% (  0.01) | 24.88% (  0) | 39.17% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 58.12% (  -0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.84% (  -0) | 45.17% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.49% (  -0.01) | 67.51% (  0.01) | 
| Union Berlin Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.39% (  0) | 24.61% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.88% | 59.12% (  0) | 
| Borussia Dortmund Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.09% (  -0) | 22.91% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.33% (  -0.01) | 56.67% (  0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund | 
| 2-1 @ 8.17% (  0) 1-0 @ 7.91% (  0) 2-0 @ 5.54% (  0) 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.59% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.99% (  -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% (  0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 6.02% (  -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 8.31% (  0) 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 4.22% (  -0) 0-3 @ 3.01% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.96% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.55% (  -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.17% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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