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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Wolfsburg

Dortmund
4 - 0
Wolfsburg

Guirassy (3', 59'), Adeyemi (69', 73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fischer (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWolfsburg
64.13% (-0.146 -0.15)18.53% (0.081999999999997 0.08)17.34% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 62.53% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.74% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)31.26% (0.299 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.31% (-0.357 -0.36)52.69% (0.354 0.35)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.7% (-0.119 -0.12)9.29% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.62% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)31.37% (0.273 0.27)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)31.06% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62% (-0.149 -0.15)67.37% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 64.13%
    Wolfsburg 17.34%
    Draw 18.53%
Borussia DortmundDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.48% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.41% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.83% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 64.13%
1-1 @ 8.02% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.53%
1-2 @ 4.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.38% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.97% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 17.34%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Wolfsburg

Borussia Dortmund
94.8%
Draw
3.4%
Wolfsburg
1.7%
58
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Wolfsburg
1-3
Dortmund
Vavro (58')
Koulierakis (50'), Gerhardt (55'), Vavro (90+4')
Malen (25'), Beier (28'), Brandt (30')
Malen (63'), Malen (70'), Couto (90+4')
Gross (62')
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
Wolfsburg
1-0
Dortmund
Wind (116')
Arnold (62'), Ozcan (114')

Nmecha (56'), Bynoe-Gittens (85'), Schlotterbeck (115'), Bensebaini (120')
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Wolfsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Gerhardt (63')
Gerhardt (71'), Arnold (90+7'), Jenz (90+8')
Fullkrug (8')
Moukoko (90+8')
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Wolfsburg
Reus (68')

Cerny (24')
May 7, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 31
Dortmund
6-0
Wolfsburg
Adeyemi (14', 59'), Haller (28'), Malen (37'), Bellingham (54', 86')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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