Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund1 - 0Wolfsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Wolfsburg
Dortmund may have thrashed Wolfsburg in their last two home meetings, but a tighter affair could be in store on Saturday considering that there is little to separate these two clubs in the early stages of the campaign. Terzic will be seeking a response from his BVB players on home soil after their midweek loss in Europe, and we believe that they may just have the edge in the final third to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.72%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.39% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (5.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 60.72% | 18.89% | 20.39% |
| Both teams to score 67.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
