Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund1 - 0FC Koln
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Schott Mainz 1-6 Dortmund
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 FC Koln
Given that Borussia Dortmund suffered a solitary defeat in 19 home league games last season - scoring 55 goals while conceding just 17 - we expect BVB to kick-start their Bundesliga campaign with a comfortable victory over FC Koln. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.65%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 1-0 (6.81%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | FC Koln |
54.65% ( -0.17) | 21.06% ( 0.08) | 24.28% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 64.55% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
