Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 82.79%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Rot-Weiss Erfurt had a probability of 6.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win it was 2-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.