

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 2-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 16.3% ( | 16.73% ( | 66.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.87% ( | 24.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.23% ( | 43.76% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( | 27.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.05% ( | 62.94% ( |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.18% ( | 6.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.88% ( | 25.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 1-0 @ 2.42% ( 3-1 @ 1.81% ( 2-0 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 3.88% Total : 16.3% | 1-1 @ 6.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0-0 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 0.54% Total : 16.73% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 1-3 @ 7.81% ( 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0-3 @ 6.04% ( 1-4 @ 5.25% ( 2-3 @ 5.05% ( 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0-4 @ 4.06% ( 2-4 @ 3.39% ( 1-5 @ 2.82% ( 0-5 @ 2.18% ( 2-5 @ 1.82% ( 3-4 @ 1.46% ( 1-6 @ 1.26% ( 0-6 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 4.35% Total : 66.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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