Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
