Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.