Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between East Fife and Dumbarton.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.