Reaction
Jim Duffy hits out at "unfair" schedule as Dumbarton lose to Aberdeen
Callum Hendry's late winner edged Aberdeen into the last 16 with a 1-0 win.
Apr 3, 16:41
Paul Sheerin lavishes praise on teenager Calvin Ramsay
Substitute Callum Hendry grabbed the Dons goal that saw them past Dumbarton and into the last 16 of the Scottish Cup.
Apr 4, 11:52
The Match
Match Report
Substitute Callum Hendry secured a safe passage into round four for the Dons.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 72.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 9.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.44%) and 0-3 (10.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-0 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 9.22% | 18.36% | 72.42% |
| Both teams to score 38.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
