Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metalist Kharkiv would win this match.