Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.