Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 67.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 12.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.