Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 73.64%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.86%) and 0-3 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.