Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 86.14%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Trofense had a probability of 3.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.05%) and 1-0 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Trofense win it was 0-1 (1.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.