Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Notts County |
16.02% (![]() | 18.29% (![]() | 65.69% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.25% (![]() | 32.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.57% (![]() | 54.43% (![]() |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% (![]() | 33.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.88% (![]() | 70.12% (![]() |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.65% (![]() | 9.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.5% (![]() | 31.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 4.44% (![]() 1-0 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.02% | 1-1 @ 8.12% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.29% | 1-2 @ 9.62% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.6% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.95% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 4.83% Total : 65.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 |
2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 |
3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 |
4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 |
5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 |
6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 |
9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 |
12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 |
18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 |
20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 |
22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 |
23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 |
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