Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 49.09% ( | 26.85% ( | 24.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.63% ( | 58.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% ( | 78.98% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( | 23.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.92% ( | 58.08% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% ( | 40.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.29% ( | 76.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% ( 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0-0 @ 9.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.11% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-2 @ 4% ( 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 56 | 37 | 19 | 51 |
| 2 | Dundee | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 43 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 35 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 26 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 25 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 24 |
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