Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.