Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.