Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elgin City in this match.
