Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
