Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
