Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.