Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
