Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
