Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
